Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.003990 0.004193 0.004401 0.004630 0.004876 0.005133 0.005420
2025-01-05 0.003577 0.003875 0.004193 0.004559 0.004971 0.005422 0.005954
2025-01-12 0.003363 0.003718 0.004108 0.004571 0.005109 0.005718 0.006465
2025-01-19 0.003097 0.003475 0.003898 0.004413 0.005024 0.005735 0.006633
2025-01-26 0.002978 0.003387 0.003854 0.004434 0.005139 0.005980 0.007072
2025-02-02 0.002933 0.003379 0.003898 0.004555 0.005373 0.006373 0.007709
2025-02-09 0.002804 0.003262 0.003804 0.004499 0.005381 0.006481 0.007986
2025-02-16 0.002713 0.003186 0.003753 0.004492 0.005446 0.006659 0.008356
2025-02-23 0.002621 0.003105 0.003691 0.004465 0.005480 0.006794 0.008673
2025-03-02 0.002572 0.003073 0.003688 0.004511 0.005609 0.007058 0.009177
2025-03-09 0.002491 0.002997 0.003624 0.004475 0.005624 0.007166 0.009466
2025-03-16 0.002413 0.002923 0.003560 0.004433 0.005630 0.007258 0.009733
2025-03-23 0.002321 0.002828 0.003468 0.004354 0.005583 0.007279 0.009904
2025-03-30 0.002240 0.002745 0.003389 0.004290 0.005553 0.007323 0.010111
2025-04-06 0.002194 0.002707 0.003367 0.004301 0.005628 0.007520 0.010561
2025-04-13 0.002090 0.002590 0.003235 0.004154 0.005473 0.007370 0.010459
2025-04-20 0.002055 0.002562 0.003223 0.004174 0.005556 0.007576 0.010933
2025-04-27 0.002056 0.002582 0.003275 0.004285 0.005777 0.008000 0.011788
2025-05-04 0.001999 0.002521 0.003215 0.004234 0.005755 0.008048 0.012018
2025-05-11 0.001960 0.002485 0.003187 0.004228 0.005797 0.008198 0.012432
2025-05-18 0.001917 0.002441 0.003147 0.004203 0.005810 0.008301 0.012768
2025-05-25 0.001898 0.002431 0.003154 0.004245 0.005929 0.008578 0.013430
2025-06-01 0.001856 0.002386 0.003110 0.004212 0.005926 0.008656 0.013736